

FOLLOWUS
University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
Science and Technology on Vacuum Technology and Physics Laboratory, Lanzhou Institute of Physics, CAST, Lanzhou 730000, China
Opto-Electronics Technology Center, Changchun Institute of Optics, Fine Mechanics and Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Changchun 130033, China
Qiang SUN, E-mail: sunq@ciomp.ac.cn
Received:28 December 2015,
Revised:2017-;8-14,
Published:2017-08
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Jian HAO, Lei JING, Hong-liang KE, et al. Determination of cut-off time of accelerated aging test under temperature stress for LED lamps[J]. Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering, 2017, 18(8): 1197-1204.
Jian HAO, Lei JING, Hong-liang KE, et al. Determination of cut-off time of accelerated aging test under temperature stress for LED lamps[J]. Frontiers of Information Technology & Electronic Engineering, 2017, 18(8): 1197-1204. DOI: 10.1631/FITEE.1500483.
在LED灯具加速老化过程中,为获得最小截止时间,对其寿命进行快速预估,本文采用5阶滑动平均误差方法分析数据。选用同批次的16个样本,分别进行80°C和85°C应力条件下的加速老化。首先,采用e指数对光通维持率进行拟合,获得每个灯具的加速寿命,进而采用威布尔分布对加速寿命进行拟合,获得中位寿命。其次,采用平均滑动误差方法,可获取不同截止时间下中位寿命预估误差。结果表明:加速老化过程中,存在最小截止时间,该时间可通过滑动平均误差和截止时间的关系确定;当截止时间小于该值时,寿命预估不合理;寿命预估误差随截止时间增加而逐渐减小。对于该类LED灯具,80℃时最小截止时间为1104小时,寿命预估误差为1.15%;85°C时最小截止时间为936小时,寿命预估误差为1.24%。当寿命估计误差约为0.46%时,80°C和85°C对应的中位寿命分别为7310小时和4598小时。
To acquire a rational minimum cut-off time and the precision of lifetime prediction with respect to cut-off time for the accelerated aging test of LED lamps
fifth-order moving average error estimation is adopted in this paper. Eighteen LED lamps from the same batch are selected for two accelerated aging tests
with 10 samples at 80 ℃ and eight samples at 85 ℃. First
the accelerated lifetime of each lamp is acquired by exponential fitting of the lumen maintenances of the lamp for a certain cut-off time. With the acquired lifetimes of all lamps
the two-parameter Weibull distribution of the failure probability is obtained
and the medium lifetime is calculated. Then
the precision of the medium lifetime prediction for different cut-off times is obtained by moving average error estimation. It is shown that there exists a minimum cut-off time for the accelerated aging test
which can be determined by the variation of the moving average error versus the cut-off time. When the cut-off time is less than this value
the lifetime estimation is irrational. For a given cut-off time
the precision of lifetime prediction can be computed by average error evaluation
and the error of lifetime estimation decreases gradually as the cut-off time increases. The minimum cut-off time and medium lifetime of LED lamps are both sensitive to thermal stress. The minimum cut-off time is 1104 h with the lifetime estimation error of 1.15% for the test at 80 ℃
and 936 h with the lifetime estimation error of 1.24% for the test at 85 ℃. With the lifetime estimation error of about 0.46%
the median lifetimes are 7310 h and 4598 h for the tests at 80 ℃ and 85℃
respectively.
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