城市发展决策网络的理论基础

赖世刚; 黄仲由

doi:10.1631/FITEE.1510000

Your Location：

Home >

Browse articles >

城市发展决策网络的理论基础

常规文章 | Updated：2022-05-19

- 城市发展决策网络的理论基础
  Enhanced Publication
- Theoretical foundation of a decision network for urban development
- 信息与电子工程前沿（英文） 2017年18卷第8期页码：1033-1039
- Affiliations：
  
  College of Architecture and Urban Planning, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China
  Department of Real Estate and Built Environment, National Taipei University, Taiwan 10478, China
- Author bio：
  
  [ "Shih-kung LAI, E-mail: lai@tongji.edu.cn" ]
  Jhong-you HUANG, E-mail: jhongyouhuang@gmail.com
- Funds：
  
  Project supported by the Ministry of Science and Technology of Taiwan (No. NSC101-2410-H305-066-MY2)
- DOI：10.1631/FITEE.1510000
  中图分类号： F291.1
- 纸质出版日期：2017-08，
  
  收稿日期：2015-07-21，
  
  修回日期：2017-08-01，
- Accepted：
Scan QR Code
赖世刚, 黄仲由. 城市发展决策网络的理论基础[J]. 信息与电子工程前沿（英文）, 2017,18(8):1033-1039.

SHIH-KUNG LAI, JHONG-YOU HUANG. Theoretical foundation of a decision network for urban development. [J]. Frontiers of information technology & electronic engineering, 2017, 18(8): 1033-1039.
赖世刚, 黄仲由. 城市发展决策网络的理论基础[J]. 信息与电子工程前沿（英文）, 2017,18(8):1033-1039. DOI： 10.1631/FITEE.1510000.

SHIH-KUNG LAI, JHONG-YOU HUANG. Theoretical foundation of a decision network for urban development. [J]. Frontiers of information technology & electronic engineering, 2017, 18(8): 1033-1039. DOI： 10.1631/FITEE.1510000.

摘要

规划问题具有挑战性和复杂性，因为它们通常涉及多重属性偏好和多个利益相关者。因此，很少有规划工具能帮助规划者解决这些问题。传统决策分析在处理规划问题时无法达到预期，因为它主要侧重于为特定决策者制定单一决策。本文介绍了一个名为“决策网络”的规划工具的理论基础，其目的是帮助规划者在面对具有多属性偏好的多个利益相关者时，作出多重且相互关联的决定。本研究提供了一个成熟科学技术的起点，将有助于处理复杂的规划问题。我们首先提出决策网络模式所欲处理的规划问题的一般化模式。然后我们针对这个规划问题提出一个有效的解决演算法，再使用数值示例来演示该演算法是如何运作。所提出的解决演算法被证明是有效的，亦使该规划工具的计算机化成为可能。同时，我们指明“决策网络”的图形表示较“决策树”的图形表示来得更为有效。因此，在处理具有挑战性和复杂性的城市规划问题时，通过决策网络模式所作出的多重的且相关的决策，将会比独立地做出这些决策产生更多的好处。

Abstract

Planning problems are challenging and complex in that they usually involve multiple stakeholders with multi-attribute preferences. Thus few

if any

planning tools are useful in helping planners address such problems. Decision analysis is less useful than expected in dealing with planning problems because it focuses overwhelmingly on making a single decision for a particular decision-maker. In this paper

we describe the theoretical foundation of a planning tool called the 'decision network'

which aims to help planners make multiple and linked decisions when facing multiple stakeholders with multi-attribute preferences. The research provides a starting point for a fully fledged technology that is useful for dealing with complex planning problems. We first provide a general formulation of the planning problem that the decision network intends to address. We then introduce an efficient solution algorithm for this problem

with a numerical example to demonstrate how the algorithm works. The proposed solution algorithm is efficient

allowing computerization of the planning tool. We also demonstrate that the diagrammatic representation of the decision network is more efficient than that of a decision tree. Therefore

when dealing with challenging and complex planning problems

using the decision network to make multiple and linked decisions may yield more benefits than making such decisions independently.

关键词

决策关联的决策决策网络规划

Keywords

Decision makingLinked decisionsDecision networkPlanning

references

M.D. Cohen, , , J.G. March, , , J.P. Olsen. . A garbage can model of organizational choice. . Admin. Sci. Q., , 1972. . 17((1):):1--25. . DOI:10.2307/2392088http://doi.org/10.2307/2392088..

J.K. Friend, , , A. Hickling. . Planning under Pressure: the Strategic Choice Approach, , ::Oxford, UKElsevier/Butterworth Heinemann, , 2005. ..

M. Ghallab, , , D. Nau, , , P. Traverso. . Automated Planning: Theory and Practice, , ::San Francisco, USAElsevier, , 2004. ..

H.Y. Han, , , S.K. Lai. . Decision network: a planning tool for making multiple, linked decisions. . Environ. Plan. B, , 2011. . 38((1):):115--128. . DOI:10.1068/b35153http://doi.org/10.1068/b35153..

H.Y. Han, , , S.K. Lai. . Reformulation and assessment of the inventory approach to urban growth boundaries. . Land Use Pol., , 2012. . 29((2):):351--356. . DOI:10.1016/j.landusepol.2011.07.005http://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2011.07.005..

L.D. Hopkins. . Evaluation of methods for exploring ill-defined problems. . Environ. Plan. B, , 1984. . 11((3):):339--348. . DOI:10.1068/b110339http://doi.org/10.1068/b110339..

L.D. Hopkins. . Urban Development: the Logic of Making Plans, , ::Washington DC, USAIsland Press, , 2001. ..

R.L. Keeney. . Making better decision-makers. . Dec. Anal., , 2004. . 1((4):):193--204. . DOI:10.1287/deca.1040.0009http://doi.org/10.1287/deca.1040.0009..

R.L. Keeney, , , H. Raiffa. . Decisions with Multiple Objectives: Preferences and Value Tradeoffs, , ::Cambridge, UKCambridge University Press, , 1993. ..

C.W. Kirkwood. . An algebraic approach to formulating and solving large models for sequential decisions under uncertainty. . Manag. Sci., , 1993. . 39((7):):900--913. . DOI:10.1287/mnsc.39.7.900http://doi.org/10.1287/mnsc.39.7.900..

C.W. Kirkwood. . Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets, , ::Belmont, USAWadsworth Publishing Company, , 1996. ..

S.K. Lai. . A spatial garbage-can model. . Environ. Plan. B, , 2006. . 33((1):):141--156. . DOI:10.1068/b31111http://doi.org/10.1068/b31111..

J.L. Pollock. . Thinking about Acting: Logical Foundations for Rational Decision Making, , ::New York, USAOxford University Press, , 2006. ..

浏览量

Downloads

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

Submit

工具集

关联资源

Motion planning of a quadrotor robot game using a simulation-based projected policy iteration method

Autonomous fault-diagnosis and decision-making algorithm for determining faulty nodes in distributed wireless networks